2022 NASCAR playoffs in Miami odds, picks, predictions: Proven pattern fades Christopher Bell at Dixie Vodka 400

Seven of the last nine Dixie Vodka 400 winners have come from the top five in the starting lineup, which could be a trend to watch on Sunday. With just three races left before the 2022 NASCAR Cup Series champion is crowned, Joey Logano sits atop the points standings after his win in Las Vegas last weekend. Logano is listed at 8-1 in the latest 2022 Dixie Vodka 400 odds at Caesars Sportsbook. Denny Hamlin and Tyler Reddick are co-favorites 7-1, while Kyle Larson joins Logano at 8-1 on the NASCAR odds board.

This will be NASCAR’s first trip to Homestead-Miami Speedway with the Next Gen car. Should you use data from past years to make your Dixie Vodka 400 2022 choices? Before you run through the 2022 Dixie Vodka 400 starting lineup and make 2022 NASCAR Homestead predictions, be sure to see the latest NASCAR Miami picks from SportsLine’s proven projection template.

Developed by Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates each race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

In the 2021 season, McClure’s model nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a solid 3-1 victory. Then he called Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout. McClure’s model also called Larson’s win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks before nailing Larson to win the season finale in Phoenix for winning the 2021 NASCAR Cup championship. In total, he had five of Larson’s wins in a historic season.

So far in 2022, it was important for Ross Chastain to win in Austin, which gave him a much better chance of winning than his 40-1 odds implied. The model was also high on Joey Logano before winning as a 15-1 underdog at Darlington and again on Logano when he came back 14-1 in their win at St. Louis. In early August it was much higher on Kevin Harvick than its 17-1 odds implied and Harvick took the win at Michigan, then last week it was high on Tyler Reddick before winning at Texas for a payment of 12-1. Anyone who followed his lead on these games saw huge returns.

Now the model has simulated the 2022 NASCAR race at Homestead-Miami 10,000 times. Head over to SportsLine to see the full projected 2022 Dixie Vodka 400 standings..

Best NASCAR 2022 Predictions in Miami

For the 2022 Dixie Vodka 400, the model is high on Kyle Busch, even though he is a 10-1 longshot in the final 2022 NASCAR at Homestead. He is a target for anyone looking for a huge salary. Busch has been fantastic at this track in recent years, recording six top-six finishes in his last seven starts at Homestead, including four top-four finishes.

Busch lost crew chief Ben Beshore for the remainder of the season after his car lost a wheel following a late pit stop in Las Vegas last weekend. This is Busch’s final season with Joe Gibbs Racing before he moves to Richard Childress Racing next season. SportsLine’s model thinks Busch has an excellent chance of picking up a win from distance this weekend, even with his crew chief suspended. Find out which other NASCAR underdogs to pick here.

And a huge shocker: Christopher Bell, one of the Vegas favorites at 10-1, stumbles big and fails to crack the top 10. There are far better values ​​in the 2022 Dixie Vodka 400 starting lineup. Bell picked up his third career victory on the Charlotte Road Course to sneak into the knockout rounds at the last minute, but is well behind after winning a DVP and finishing 34th last week in Las Vegas.

That’s two straight races at 1.5-mile ovals where Bell has finished outside the top 30 and four speedway races this year where he’s finished 19th or worse overall. Last year Bell started third in the 2021 Dixie Vodka 400 but never managed to earn a bonus point for leading a lap and finished 20th. Check out other favorites to avoid here.

How to Make 2022 NASCAR Homestead Picks

The model is also targeting five other drivers with 2022 Miami NASCAR odds of 10-1 or higher to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks on SportsLine.

So who wins the South Point 400 2022? And which longshots make a checkered flag race? Check out the latest NASCAR odds in Las Vegas below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected NASCAR Las Vegas 2022 standings, all from the model that correctly predicted five of Kyle Larson’s wins last season.

2022 Dixie Vodka 400 odds, field

See all NASCAR Homestead-Miami picks, best bets and predictions here

Denny Hamlin 7-1
Tyler Reddick 7-1
Kyle Larson 8-1
Joey Logano 8-1
Ryan Blaney 10-1
Christopher Bell 10-1
Martin Truex Jr. 10-1
Ross Chestnut 10-1
Kyle Busch 10-1
Chase Elliot 10-1
William Byron 12-1
Kevin Harvick 18-1
Noah Gragson 25-1
Daniel Suarez 28-1
Chase Briscoe 30-1
Austin Cindric 30-1
John Hunter Nemechek 40-1
Erik Jones 50-1
Brad Keselowski 60-1
Chris Buescher 60-1
Austin Dillon 75-1
AJ Allmendinger 75-1
Ricky Stenhouse 100-1
Ty Gibbs 100-1
Michael McDowell 150-1
Aric Almirola 150-1
Justin Haley 300-1
Cole Custer 300-1
Harrison Burton 500-1
Ty Dillon 1000-1
Todd Gilland 2000-1
Corey Lajoie 2500-1
Landon Cassill 2500-1
BJ McLeod 5000-1
Cody Ware 5000-1
JJ Yeley 5000-1

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