NASCAR Fontana 2022 odds, predictions: Surprising Wise Power 400 picks by model that took Larson wins

Without much bank, the two-mile D-shaped oval at Auto Club Speedway in Fontana is one of the greatest tests of accuracy and speed in the NASCAR Cup Series. After a season without NASCAR at Fontana Raceway due to COVID-19, the world’s top stock car drivers will be back for the 2022 Wise Power 400 on Sunday. As if the track wasn’t already a big enough test, tire usage could be a factor when the green flag drops at 3:30 p.m. ET thanks to NASCAR’s new “Next-Gen” car.

Kyle Larson is coming off of 30th at the Daytona 500 last week thanks to a late crash, but he sat in pole position in the season opener. The defending NASCAR Cup Series champion is the 5-2 favorite in Caesars Sportsbook’s 2022 Wise Power 400 odds. Rookie Austin Cindric took the win at Daytona and is a long shot 50-1 in NASCAR Fontana odds. Before you run through the 2022 Wise Power 400 starting lineup and make 2022 NASCAR predictions at Fontana, be sure to check out the latest Wise Power 400 2022 picks from SportsLine’s proven throwing model.

Developed by Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates each race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

In the 2021 season, McClure nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a solid 3-1 win. The model also nailed Kyle Larson winning the NASCAR All-Star Race 5-2 in Texas and knocked Larson out again at the Ally 400 for another 5-2 payout. Then he called Chase Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout.

He also called Larson’s win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and his win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks before nailing Larson to win the season finale in Phoenix to win the championship. of the NASCAR Cup. In total, he called five of Larson’s wins in a historic season and also made both of his head-to-head predictions at the 2022 Daytona 500. Anyone who followed his lead on those games saw huge returns on his NASCAR Picks.

Now the model has simulated the 2022 NASCAR race at Fontana 10,000 times. Head over to SportsLine to see the full projected 2022 Wise Power 400 standings..

Top 2022 Wise Power 400 Predictions

A surprise: The model is high on Kevin Harvick, even though he is a long shot of 12-1 in the latest NASCAR 2022 at Fontana odds. He is a target for anyone looking for a huge salary. Harvick said candidly that he thought NASCAR’s new 18-inch tires would be tested in the fast corners of Fontana, but he handled his driving well at Auto Club Speedway throughout his career.

Harvick won the 2011 Auto Club 400 at Fontana and was a runner-up at Fontana Speedway three other times. Harvick is coming off his first season without a win in the NASCAR Cup Series since 2009, but he still managed his fifth consecutive top-five finish in the standings. He would like to break his 44-race winless streak and show that last year’s equipment problems are behind Stewart-Haas Racing.

And a huge shocker: Martin Truex Jr., a 7-1 Vegas favorite, stumbles big and barely cracks the top five. There are far better values ​​in this 2022 Wise Power 400 open starting grid. The 2017 NASCAR Cup Series champion has finished second in three of the four seasons since winning the title.

However, Fontana hasn’t been kind to Truex historically. He won the 2018 Auto Club 400 there, but finished outside the top 10 in 13 of his 20 career starts at Fontana Speedway. That includes seven finishes outside the top 20 and he could struggle on Sunday after two years away from the track and while working through issues with the new ‘Next-Gen’ car.

How to Make 2022 NASCAR Picks at Fontana

The model is also targeting three other drivers with 2022 NASCAR Fontana odds of 12-1 or higher to make a serious run at the checkered flag, including a huge triple-digit long shot. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks on SportsLine.

So who wins the 2022 Wise Power 400? And what triple-digit long shot makes a race at the checkered flag? Check out the latest 2022 NASCAR odds at Fontana below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full predicted 2022 Wise Power 400 standings, all from the model that correctly predicted five of Kyle Larson’s wins last season.

2022 Wise Power 400 odds

Kyle Larson 5-2
Martin Truex Jr. 7-1
Kyle Busch 7-1
Chase Elliott 15-2
Denny Hamlin 8-1
Ryan Blaney 10-1
William Byron 12-1
Kevin Harvick 12-1
Alex Bowman 14-1
Joey Logan 14-1
Tyler Red Dick 20-1
Kurt Busch 30-1
Christopher Bell 30-1
Brad Keselowski 40-1
Austin Cindric 50-1
Austin Dillon 75-1
Ross Chestnut 75-1
Chase Briscoe 100-1
Aric Almirola 100-1
Harrison Burton 150-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 200-1
Chris Buescher 200-1
Bubba Wallace 200-1
Daniel Hemric 200-1
Cole Custer 250-1
Erik Jones 250-1
Daniel Suarez 250-1
Ty Dillon 300-1
Todd Gilliland 500-1
Michael McDowell 500-1
Justin Haley 500-1
Corey Lajoie 2000-1
Josh Bilicki 2500-1
BJ McLeod 2500-1
Cody Ware 2500-1

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